Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.186502 7.912698 8.700432 9.621744 10.673945 11.843113 13.247407
2026-01-11 6.048587 6.981946 8.059465 9.406616 11.061602 13.049222 15.648903
2026-01-18 5.549764 6.622738 7.917689 9.617705 11.824123 14.638804 18.581181
2026-01-25 5.028981 6.151342 7.551775 9.460237 12.045803 15.507240 20.636491
2026-02-01 4.632751 5.784912 7.263445 9.343788 12.269522 16.357877 22.734685
2026-02-08 4.295013 5.458131 6.986994 9.198609 12.412965 17.080423 24.710176
2026-02-15 3.994709 5.153757 6.709264 9.014709 12.464680 17.650657 26.501726
2026-02-22 3.778215 4.944929 6.542128 8.965515 12.696957 18.501967 28.851348
2026-03-01 3.511897 4.648020 6.227680 8.669218 12.515198 18.666824 30.034976
2026-03-08 3.239032 4.325380 5.854787 8.254308 12.105009 18.406881 30.407856
2026-03-15 3.067920 4.138322 5.666662 8.105704 12.104199 18.824058 32.081285
2026-03-22 3.123241 4.281169 5.972263 8.746539 13.456401 21.729369 39.060155
2026-03-29 3.039391 4.217603 5.968402 8.902729 14.023005 23.340004 43.839937
2026-04-05 2.876889 4.027169 5.757815 8.703526 13.947673 23.742249 46.104301
2026-04-12 2.816563 3.988366 5.780558 8.894452 14.589429 25.610897 52.099310
2026-04-19 2.688951 3.838436 5.616862 8.752153 14.597719 26.205356 55.178913
2026-04-26 2.578809 3.710260 5.480646 8.646881 14.664154 26.925472 58.736966
2026-05-03 2.471484 3.581362 5.335963 8.515582 14.666168 27.505484 62.062583
2026-05-10 2.364790 3.448668 5.178007 8.349175 14.582461 27.884794 64.929145
2026-05-17 2.288015 3.360767 5.090247 8.304642 14.739814 28.827931 69.662630
2026-05-24 2.175360 3.209898 4.888843 8.036275 14.412150 28.603527 70.835610
2026-05-31 2.049852 3.033659 4.637148 7.660022 13.831003 27.716777 69.768670
2026-06-07 1.973493 2.935837 4.516229 7.525133 13.752069 28.038352 72.687386